Lost Origin · #TG01/196
Rare
Near Mint
$4.12
10$195
7D range
Flat over 30d as momentum fades.
7d
+0.5%
30d
-0.5%
90d
+53.7%
Growth/yr
+186.1%
1y
Volatility
97.8%
52w range
87%
$1.36–$4.55
Positioning vs 90d trend
Holofoil
PSA 10 vs raw
47.4×
-9% over 220d
Grading isn't worth it here — the 21% PSA 10 rate doesn't cover the spread over raw. Break-even sale $84.11 · PSA 10 $195.
| GraderGrader · grade | Odds | Value | Fee | Edge / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pristine 10Best | ~6.9% | $90.00 | $20.00Economy | -$9.20 |
| 10 | ~20.6% | $19.78 | ||
| 9 | 34.8% | $8.80 | ||
 10 | 37.5% | $20.00 | $20.00Economy | -$13.32 |
| 9 | 25.0% | $7.00 | ||
| 10 | 21.0% | $195 | $79.99Regular | -$29.73 |
| 9 | 51.4% | $19.24 |
Odds are each company's population mix for this card, not a condition-adjusted forecast. ~ marks estimates: premium labels (Pristine 10, Black Label) are folded into each grader's 10 count, so their split is heuristic.
1,625
Total graded
23.6%
Gem Rate
10
383
9
710
8
216
7
43
6
14
| Date | Grade | Price | vs FV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | 8 | $12.50 | -9% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 8 | $16.50 | +20% |
| Jul 4, 2026 |  9 | $13.02 | ~FV |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 9 | $15.99 | -17% |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 8 | $14.00 | +2% |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 9 | $20.60 | +7% |
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