Surging Sparks · #246/191
Special Illustration Rare × Nobusawa/Mochipuyo
Near Mint
$28.40
10$94.80
7D range
Down 11% over 30d, though demand is holding.
7d
-3.6%
30d
-10.6%
90d
-6.1%
Growth/yr
-18.6%
1y
Volatility
29.5%
52w range
36%
$25.83–$36.77
Positioning vs 90d trend
Holofoil
PSA 10 vs raw
3.3×
-30% over 126d
Grading isn't worth it here — the 30% PSA 10 rate doesn't cover the spread over raw. Break-even sale $108 · PSA 10 $94.80.
| GraderGrader · grade | Odds | Value | Fee | Edge / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pristine 10Best | ~12.3% | $160 | $20.00Economy | +$6.03 |
| 10 | ~37.0% | $49.03 | ||
| 9 | 19.8% | $37.27 | ||
 10 | 45.2% | $64.80 | $20.00Economy | -$1.22 |
| 9 | 35.5% | $35.00 | ||
| 10 | 29.5% | $94.80 | $80.06Regular | -$59.77 |
| 9 | 56.6% | $29.31 |
Odds are each company's population mix for this card, not a condition-adjusted forecast. ~ marks estimates: premium labels (Pristine 10, Black Label) are folded into each grader's 10 count, so their split is heuristic.
7,654
Total graded
29.9%
Gem Rate
10
2,287
9
4,188
8
882
7
82
6
29
| Date | Grade | Price | vs FV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | 10 | $86.00 | -9% |
| Jul 24, 2026 |  10 | $85.00 | -16% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 10 | $85.00 | -10% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 8 | $16.50 | -41% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 9 | $27.79 | -5% |
| Jul 19, 2026 | 9 | $26.00 | -11% |
| Jul 19, 2026 | 9 | $31.00 | +6% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Pristine 10 | $160 | ~FV |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 9 | $35.00 | +19% |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 10 | $97.65 | +3% |
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