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Adventure Bag #228/214 · Lost Thunder | LUUT

Set

Poliwrath#13$41.57+10.1%•Zapdos#15$41.17-8.1%•Magikarp & Wailord GX#SM166$152+6.8%•Gengar#TG06$56.76-6.0%•Blaine's Moltres#1$125+4.8%•Pikachu#160$46.13+4.5%•Slowking#14$72.62+4.4%•Gengar#20$37.04-4.3%•Zapdos#16$55.80+4.0%•Pikachu#RC7$86.11+3.5%•Mega Dragalge ex#118$43.11-3.2%•Mega Charizard X ex#023$35.74+3.1%•Mega Dragonite ex#271$43.30+3.0%•Pikachu#173$96.76-2.8%•Special Delivery Charizard#SWSH075$196+2.6%•Mega Gengar ex#269$64.42+2.5%•Wartortle#171$63.39+2.3%•Dark Gyarados#8$73.20+2.0%•Ninetales#199$39.77-1.9%•Surfing Pikachu#28$69.73+1.8%•Poliwrath#13$41.57+10.1%•Zapdos#15$41.17-8.1%•Magikarp & Wailord GX#SM166$152+6.8%•Gengar#TG06$56.76-6.0%•Blaine's Moltres#1$125+4.8%•Pikachu#160$46.13+4.5%•Slowking#14$72.62+4.4%•Gengar#20$37.04-4.3%•Zapdos#16$55.80+4.0%•Pikachu#RC7$86.11+3.5%•Mega Dragalge ex#118$43.11-3.2%•Mega Charizard X ex#023$35.74+3.1%•Mega Dragonite ex#271$43.30+3.0%•Pikachu#173$96.76-2.8%•Special Delivery Charizard#SWSH075$196+2.6%•Mega Gengar ex#269$64.42+2.5%•Wartortle#171$63.39+2.3%•Dark Gyarados#8$73.20+2.0%•Ninetales#199$39.77-1.9%•Surfing Pikachu#28$69.73+1.8%•

Setlist236

#NamePrice30DMom

USAJP

Lost Thunder · #228/214

Adventure Bag

Secret Rare × Yoshinobu Saito

Near Mint

$9.63

PSA 10$135

USAJP

Lost Thunder · #228/214

Adventure Bag

Secret Rare × Yoshinobu Saito

Near Mint

$9.63

PSA 10$135

Fair value-12% · fairly valued

UndervaluedFair ~$11Overvalued

H $9.63L $9.55

Jul 22+0.8% over 7DJul 28

7D range

$9.55$9.63

Signals

LUUT metrics

Range-bound over the last 30 days.

53Heat Index

Steady

7d

+0.8%

30d

+0.6%

90d

+4.4%

Growth/yr

-1.1%

1y

Volatility

6.2%

52w range

82%

$9.14–$9.74

Tide

Positioning vs 90d trend

85Extended

Jan 29Jul 28

Grade Matrix

Holofoil

4 tracked · tap to chart

GradePriceLast sale30dPopConf

Grading premium

PSA 10 vs raw

14.0×

+27% over 347d

21.4×11.0×

Aug 16Jul 28

Grading edgeCalculator

-$32.16expected net / raw copy · -36%

Grading isn't worth it here — the 38% PSA 10 rate doesn't cover the spread over raw. Break-even sale $89.62 · PSA 10 $135.

Population

81

Total graded

38.3%

Gem Rate

10

31

9

31

8

13

7

3

6

3

Is it worth grading?