Challenge from the Darkness · #31/98
Rare × Ken Sugimori
サカキのニドクイン
Near Mint
$4.89
10$124
7D range
Down 20% over 30d, but momentum is turning up.
7d
-0.4%
30d
-20.2%
90d
-23.6%
Growth/yr
-66.4%
90d ann.
Volatility
43.8%
52w range
0%
$4.88–$8.15
Positioning vs 90d trend
PSA 10 vs raw
25.3×
+1% over 29d
Grading isn't worth it here — the 22% PSA 10 rate doesn't cover the spread over raw. Break-even sale $84.88 · PSA 10 $124.
Normal
| GraderGrader · grade | Odds | Value | Fee | Edge / copy |
|---|
10Best | 21.8% | $124 | $79.99Regular | -$1.83 |
| 9 | 35.2% | $138 | ||
Pristine 10 | ~2.0% | $151 | $20.00Economy | -$10.42 |
| 10 | ~6.1% | $49.90 | ||
| 9 | 28.6% | $15.07 |
Odds are each company's population mix for this card, not a condition-adjusted forecast. ~ marks estimates: premium labels (Pristine 10, Black Label) are folded into each grader's 10 count, so their split is heuristic.
247
Total graded
16.2%
Gem Rate
10
40
9
79
8
48
7
15
6
13
| Date | Grade | Price | vs FV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pristine 10 | $177 | +41% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 9 | $119 | -14% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 9 | $108 | -22% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 8 | $28.88 | +20% |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 9 | $200 | +45% |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Pristine 10 | $126 | ~FV |
| Jun 28, 2026 | 10 | $108 | -13% |
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