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Professor Birch's Observations #159/160 · Primal Clash | LUUT

Set

Mew-EX#RC24$229+18.0%•Mew ex#216$33.76-8.3%•Walking Wake ex#205$58.73+8.2%•Rayquaza VMAX#TG29$43.37+8.1%•Terapagos ex#170$40.67-7.7%•Mew ex#053$81.62+7.1%•Pikachu & Zekrom GX#33$70.10-6.9%•Dark Slowbro#12$49.59+6.6%•Mega Greninja ex#116$249-6.3%•Charizard#4$774+6.2%•Mega Dragonite ex#271$42.67-6.2%•Mega Charizard X ex#023$39.32+6.1%•Zorua#142$48.78-5.9%•Pikachu#GG30$45.20-5.9%•Bulbasaur#166$82.11-5.7%•Snorlax#27$30.77+5.5%•Eevee#188$96.86+5.3%•Iron Leaves ex#203$37.98-5.2%•Ethan's Typhlosion#190$31.19+5.1%•Latias#XY78$80.17+4.9%•Mew-EX#RC24$229+18.0%•Mew ex#216$33.76-8.3%•Walking Wake ex#205$58.73+8.2%•Rayquaza VMAX#TG29$43.37+8.1%•Terapagos ex#170$40.67-7.7%•Mew ex#053$81.62+7.1%•Pikachu & Zekrom GX#33$70.10-6.9%•Dark Slowbro#12$49.59+6.6%•Mega Greninja ex#116$249-6.3%•Charizard#4$774+6.2%•Mega Dragonite ex#271$42.67-6.2%•Mega Charizard X ex#023$39.32+6.1%•Zorua#142$48.78-5.9%•Pikachu#GG30$45.20-5.9%•Bulbasaur#166$82.11-5.7%•Snorlax#27$30.77+5.5%•Eevee#188$96.86+5.3%•Iron Leaves ex#203$37.98-5.2%•Ethan's Typhlosion#190$31.19+5.1%•Latias#XY78$80.17+4.9%•

Setlist164

#NamePrice30DMom

USAJP

Primal Clash · #159/160

Professor Birch's Observations

Ultra Rare × Hitoshi Ariga

Near Mint

$13.94

PSA 10$1,500

USAJP

Primal Clash · #159/160

Professor Birch's Observations

Ultra Rare × Hitoshi Ariga

Near Mint

$13.94

PSA 10$1,500

Fair value-17% · undervalued

UndervaluedFair ~$17Overvalued

H $13.94L $13.54

Jul 9+3.0% over 7DJul 15

7D range

$13.54$13.94

Signals

LUUT metrics

Range-bound over the last 30 days.

57Heat Index

Steady

7d

+3.0%

30d

+4.9%

90d

+14.3%

Growth/yr

+29.6%

1y

Volatility

14.2%

52w range

100%

$10.51–$13.94

Tide

Positioning vs 90d trend

93Extended

Jan 17Jul 15

Grading premium

PSA 10 vs raw

108×

-9% over 71d

118×108×

May 7Jul 16

Grading edgeCalculator

+$3.34expected net / raw copy · +4%

Grading the raw copy nets about $3.34 on average at its 6% PSA 10 rate. Break-even sale $93.93 · PSA 10 $1,500.

Population

296

Total graded

4.4%

Gem Rate

10

13

9

49

8

100

7

65

6

15

Is it worth grading?